BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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N Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 245 Conference: Mid-American Record: (9-9) Overall: (13-18) Overall Strength =   17.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    L    17.92  77  83   ZZ   5 (  1-  0) IL Springfield          0.00     -6.00                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L    20.17  46  63    1  41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern            2.25    -19.25                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    24.18  99  73   ZZ  70 (  0-  2) Purdue Northwest        6.25     19.75                      
  4 11-17-2022 Away    L     8.59  50  68    1 158 ( 14- 17) Georgia Tech           -9.33     -8.67                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral L    -2.09  54  88    1  63 ( 24-  6) Sam Houston St        -20.02    -13.98                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral W    25.00  86  61    1 363 (  3- 26) LIU Brooklyn            7.08     17.92                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L    16.63  76  83    1 212 ( 14- 18) Northern Iowa          -1.29     -5.71                      
  8 11-30-2022 Away    W    33.91  90  70    1 342 (  9- 22) E Illinois             15.98      4.02                      
  9 12-02-2022 Away    L   -18.26  47  84    1 283 ( 10- 22) Idaho                 -36.19     -0.81                      
 10 12-12-2022 Away    L    23.35  67  88    1  11 ( 26-  5) Gonzaga                 5.43 *  -26.43                      
 11 12-17-2022 Away    L     6.88  63  90    1  80 ( 24-  7) VCU                   -11.04    -15.96                      
 12 12-20-2022 Home    L     1.23  78  83    1 341 (  8- 23) SUNY Albany           -16.69     11.69                      
 13 12-22-2022 Away    W    41.85  67  57    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             23.93    -13.93                      
 14 01-03-2023 Away    L *   4.95  51  76    1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron                 -12.97    -12.03                      
 15 01-07-2023 Away    L *   5.92  62  80    1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo               -12.00     -6.00                      
 16 01-10-2023 Home    W *  27.05  73  54    1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan        9.13      9.87                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    L *   8.90  67  84    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                 -9.02     -7.98                      
 18 01-17-2023 Away    W *  22.57  81  77    1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH                4.65     -0.65                      
 19 01-21-2023 Away    W *  36.94  88  67    1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan       19.02      1.98                      
 20 01-24-2023 Home    W *  37.54  86  76    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   19.62     -9.62                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    L *   1.64  69  87    1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St               -16.28     -1.72                      
 22 01-31-2023 Away    W *  30.49  73  59    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan       12.57      1.43                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    W *  26.55  86  78    1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green           8.63     -0.63                      
 24 02-07-2023 Home    L *  15.39  76  82    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                   -2.53     -3.47                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    W *  37.74  81  53    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan       19.82      8.18                      
 26 02-14-2023 Away    L *  16.39  77  87    1 160 ( 20- 11) Ball St                -1.53     -8.47                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    L *  10.82  65  66 1  1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH               -7.10      6.10                      
 28 02-21-2023 Away    L *  19.14  68  77    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                    1.22    -10.22                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    W *  18.80  84  80    1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan        0.88      3.12                      
 30 02-28-2023 Home    L *   7.17  75  85    1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo               -10.75      0.75                      
 31 03-03-2023 Home    W *  28.19  85  66    1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan       10.27      8.73                      
      Averages              17.92  72.5 75.0

Best game:   41.85 = 10 point win over Indiana St
Worst game: -18.26 = 37 point loss to Idaho
Team stdev:  13.62